Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →73.1%
Exeter
18.3%
Draw
8.6%
Forest Green
Expected Goals (xG)
1.89
Exeter
vs
0.45
Forest Green
Markets
BTTS30.1%
Over 0.591.1%
Over 1.567.2%
Over 2.541.6%
Over 3.521.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.9%
2-0
17.2%
3-0
10.9%
0-0
8.9%
2-1
7.7%
1-1
7.5%
4-0
5.2%
0-1
5.0%
3-1
4.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-0
2.0%
1-2
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).