Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.9%
Freiburg
22.6%
Draw
17.4%
Bochum
Expected Goals (xG)
1.98
Freiburg
vs
0.98
Bochum
Markets
BTTS54.6%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.580.2%
Over 2.556.9%
Over 3.534.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.7%
2-0
10.1%
2-1
10.0%
1-0
9.5%
3-0
6.7%
3-1
6.6%
0-0
5.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-2
4.9%
0-1
4.4%
4-0
3.3%
4-1
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).