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AHT: 02CSV

15 Dec 2021 · 17:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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13.2%
Waregem
24.2%
Draw
62.6%
St. Gilloise

Expected Goals (xG)

0.66

Waregem

vs
1.73

St. Gilloise

Markets

BTTS40.4%
Over 0.590.2%
Over 1.569.6%
Over 2.542.8%
Over 3.521.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
15.2%
0-2
13.7%
1-1
11.1%
0-0
9.8%
1-2
9.1%
0-3
7.9%
1-0
5.4%
1-3
5.2%
2-1
3.5%
0-4
3.4%
2-2
3.0%
1-4
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).