Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.5%
Ceuta
25.9%
Draw
31.6%
Albacete
Expected Goals (xG)
1.42
Ceuta
vs
1.19
Albacete
Markets
BTTS52.5%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.573.2%
Over 2.548.2%
Over 3.526.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.3%
1-0
10.6%
0-1
8.9%
2-1
8.8%
2-0
7.4%
1-2
7.4%
0-0
7.3%
2-2
5.2%
0-2
5.2%
3-1
4.2%
3-0
3.5%
1-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).