Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.0%
Las Palmas
25.6%
Draw
19.5%
Sp Gijon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.53
Las Palmas
vs
0.79
Sp Gijon
Markets
BTTS42.7%
Over 0.590.3%
Over 1.567.3%
Over 2.541.0%
Over 3.520.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-0
11.5%
0-0
9.7%
2-1
9.1%
0-1
7.9%
3-0
5.9%
1-2
4.7%
3-1
4.6%
2-2
3.6%
0-2
3.1%
4-0
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).