Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →14.9%
Hartlepool
25.7%
Draw
59.4%
Barnet
Expected Goals (xG)
0.73
Hartlepool
vs
1.68
Barnet
Markets
BTTS42.9%
Over 0.590.1%
Over 1.570.3%
Over 2.543.3%
Over 3.522.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.2%
0-2
12.7%
1-1
11.9%
0-0
9.9%
1-2
9.2%
0-3
7.1%
1-0
5.6%
1-3
5.2%
2-1
4.0%
2-2
3.4%
0-4
3.0%
2-0
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).