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14 Mar 2023 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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13.3%
Wigan
23.5%
Draw
63.2%
Coventry

Expected Goals (xG)

0.72

Wigan

vs
1.83

Coventry

Markets

BTTS43.8%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.573.0%
Over 2.546.9%
Over 3.525.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
13.6%
0-2
13.1%
1-1
11.0%
1-2
9.4%
0-0
8.6%
0-3
8.0%
1-3
5.7%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
3.7%
0-4
3.7%
2-2
3.4%
1-4
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).