Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.6%
Virtus Entella
31.7%
Draw
31.7%
Spezia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.15
Virtus Entella
vs
1.06
Spezia
Markets
BTTS45.9%
Over 0.587.7%
Over 1.566.1%
Over 2.538.0%
Over 3.518.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.7%
0-0
12.3%
1-0
11.3%
0-1
10.3%
2-1
7.7%
2-0
7.3%
1-2
7.1%
0-2
6.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-1
3.0%
3-0
2.8%
1-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).