Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.5%
Freiburg
20.7%
Draw
23.9%
Holstein Kiel
Expected Goals (xG)
2.34
Freiburg
vs
1.52
Holstein Kiel
Markets
BTTS71.2%
Over 0.597.3%
Over 1.590.4%
Over 2.574.2%
Over 3.554.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
8.8%
1-1
8.0%
3-1
6.8%
2-2
6.7%
2-0
5.8%
1-2
5.7%
3-2
5.2%
3-0
4.5%
1-0
4.3%
4-1
4.0%
2-3
3.4%
4-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).