Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →8.5%
Saint-Étienne
12.0%
Draw
79.5%
Aris
Expected Goals (xG)
0.97
Saint-Étienne
vs
3.10
Aris
Markets
BTTS59.3%
Over 0.598.4%
Over 1.591.3%
Over 2.577.3%
Over 3.558.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-3
8.5%
1-3
8.2%
0-2
8.2%
1-2
8.0%
0-4
6.6%
1-4
6.4%
0-1
5.4%
1-1
5.0%
0-5
4.1%
2-3
4.0%
1-5
4.0%
2-2
3.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).