Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.9%
Truro
28.7%
Draw
39.4%
Tamworth
Expected Goals (xG)
1.19
Truro
vs
1.35
Tamworth
Markets
BTTS52.8%
Over 0.591.1%
Over 1.573.3%
Over 2.546.8%
Over 3.525.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.7%
0-1
9.5%
0-0
8.9%
1-2
8.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.6%
0-2
7.2%
2-0
5.6%
2-2
5.1%
1-3
3.9%
0-3
3.2%
3-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).