Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →18.8%
Cittadella
28.2%
Draw
52.9%
Como
Expected Goals (xG)
0.81
Cittadella
vs
1.53
Como
Markets
BTTS44.8%
Over 0.589.2%
Over 1.569.0%
Over 2.541.5%
Over 3.520.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.5%
1-1
13.1%
0-2
11.2%
0-0
10.8%
1-2
9.1%
1-0
6.7%
0-3
5.7%
2-1
4.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-2
3.7%
2-0
3.2%
0-4
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).