Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.4%
Monaco
22.9%
Draw
29.8%
Lyon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.74
Monaco
vs
1.33
Lyon
Markets
BTTS60.5%
Over 0.595.7%
Over 1.580.9%
Over 2.559.3%
Over 3.537.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.4%
2-1
9.3%
1-0
8.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-0
7.0%
0-1
6.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-1
5.4%
0-0
4.3%
0-2
4.1%
3-0
4.1%
3-2
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).