Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.7%
Scunthorpe
23.1%
Draw
57.2%
Carlisle
Expected Goals (xG)
0.87
Scunthorpe
vs
1.68
Carlisle
Markets
BTTS46.7%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.571.8%
Over 2.546.9%
Over 3.525.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.6%
0-2
11.0%
1-1
10.9%
1-2
9.6%
0-0
7.3%
1-0
7.3%
0-3
6.2%
1-3
5.4%
2-1
4.9%
2-2
4.2%
2-0
2.9%
0-4
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).