Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.9%
Ath Bilbao
27.2%
Draw
22.9%
Valencia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.45
Ath Bilbao
vs
0.89
Valencia
Markets
BTTS45.4%
Over 0.590.1%
Over 1.568.1%
Over 2.541.4%
Over 3.520.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-0
10.1%
0-0
9.9%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.5%
3-0
4.9%
3-1
4.4%
2-2
4.0%
0-2
3.8%
3-2
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).