Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.5%
Sassuolo
25.9%
Draw
37.7%
Bologna
Expected Goals (xG)
1.30
Sassuolo
vs
1.32
Bologna
Markets
BTTS53.0%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.573.4%
Over 2.548.6%
Over 3.526.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.3%
0-1
9.9%
1-0
9.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-1
8.1%
0-0
7.1%
0-2
6.4%
2-0
6.1%
2-2
5.3%
1-3
3.6%
3-1
3.5%
0-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).