Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.8%
York
24.2%
Draw
20.0%
Southend
Expected Goals (xG)
1.87
York
vs
1.04
Southend
Markets
BTTS55.7%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.579.6%
Over 2.555.7%
Over 3.533.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.5%
1-0
9.3%
0-0
6.3%
3-1
6.2%
3-0
5.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-2
5.2%
0-1
4.8%
3-2
3.2%
0-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).