Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →16.6%
Blackpool
21.6%
Draw
61.8%
Birmingham
Expected Goals (xG)
0.74
Blackpool
vs
1.72
Birmingham
Markets
BTTS41.9%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.569.5%
Over 2.544.5%
Over 3.523.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.6%
0-2
12.7%
1-1
10.0%
1-2
9.3%
0-0
7.7%
0-3
7.3%
1-0
7.2%
1-3
5.4%
2-1
4.0%
2-2
3.4%
0-4
3.1%
2-0
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).