Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.0%
Avellino
33.3%
Draw
35.7%
Ascoli
Expected Goals (xG)
0.96
Avellino
vs
1.05
Ascoli
Markets
BTTS41.6%
Over 0.585.4%
Over 1.561.2%
Over 2.532.8%
Over 3.514.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.8%
0-0
14.6%
0-1
12.7%
1-0
11.5%
0-2
7.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-1
6.5%
2-0
6.2%
2-2
3.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-3
2.5%
3-1
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).