Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →79.2%
Man United
14.7%
Draw
6.1%
Leicester
Expected Goals (xG)
2.74
Man United
vs
0.70
Leicester
Markets
BTTS48.0%
Over 0.596.0%
Over 1.586.7%
Over 2.566.9%
Over 3.545.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.0%
3-0
11.0%
2-1
8.4%
1-0
7.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-0
7.5%
1-1
7.0%
4-1
5.3%
5-0
4.1%
0-0
4.0%
2-2
3.0%
5-1
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).