⚽ FootballData
1 – 1
D

18 Aug 2024 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
8.8%
Whickham
16.9%
Draw
74.3%
Dunston

Expected Goals (xG)

0.58

Whickham

vs
2.16

Dunston

Markets

BTTS38.6%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.575.6%
Over 2.551.6%
Over 3.529.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
15.1%
0-1
14.2%
0-3
10.9%
1-2
8.7%
1-1
7.8%
1-3
6.3%
0-0
6.2%
0-4
5.9%
1-0
4.0%
1-4
3.4%
0-5
2.5%
2-2
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).