Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.6%
Accrington
19.9%
Draw
27.5%
Mansfield
Expected Goals (xG)
2.20
Accrington
vs
1.56
Mansfield
Markets
BTTS70.0%
Over 0.597.9%
Over 1.588.7%
Over 2.572.5%
Over 3.551.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
8.8%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-1
6.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-0
5.6%
1-0
5.4%
3-2
5.0%
3-0
4.1%
0-1
3.9%
2-3
3.6%
4-1
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).