Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.4%
Reading
30.8%
Draw
42.8%
Stoke
Expected Goals (xG)
0.94
Reading
vs
1.27
Stoke
Markets
BTTS44.8%
Over 0.587.9%
Over 1.565.8%
Over 2.537.9%
Over 3.518.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.2%
0-1
12.9%
0-0
12.1%
1-0
9.2%
0-2
8.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-1
6.2%
2-0
4.9%
2-2
3.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-3
3.5%
3-1
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).