Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →74.5%
Peterboro
14.4%
Draw
11.2%
Carlisle
Expected Goals (xG)
2.57
Peterboro
vs
0.88
Carlisle
Markets
BTTS53.3%
Over 0.597.4%
Over 1.585.2%
Over 2.566.9%
Over 3.545.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-0
9.0%
1-0
8.8%
3-1
7.9%
1-1
6.6%
4-0
5.8%
4-1
5.1%
2-2
4.0%
3-2
3.5%
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).