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01 Sept 2023 · 20:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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18.9%
Vizela
22.3%
Draw
58.7%
Gil Vicente

Expected Goals (xG)

0.88

Vizela

vs
1.76

Gil Vicente

Markets

BTTS47.8%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.573.4%
Over 2.549.0%
Over 3.527.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
13.1%
0-2
11.1%
1-1
10.6%
1-2
9.7%
1-0
6.8%
0-0
6.7%
0-3
6.5%
1-3
5.7%
2-1
4.8%
2-2
4.3%
0-4
2.9%
2-0
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).