Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.7%
Rodez
26.7%
Draw
23.6%
Bastia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.30
Rodez
vs
0.78
Bastia
Markets
BTTS38.5%
Over 0.588.6%
Over 1.560.6%
Over 2.534.6%
Over 3.515.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.2%
1-1
11.7%
0-0
11.4%
0-1
10.8%
2-0
10.5%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
5.0%
3-0
4.5%
0-2
3.8%
3-1
3.6%
2-2
3.2%
4-0
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).