Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.6%
Girona
27.3%
Draw
25.1%
Numancia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.37
Girona
vs
0.91
Numancia
Markets
BTTS44.3%
Over 0.589.8%
Over 1.566.2%
Over 2.539.7%
Over 3.519.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.2%
1-1
12.6%
0-0
10.2%
2-0
9.6%
0-1
9.5%
2-1
8.7%
1-2
5.8%
3-0
4.4%
0-2
4.2%
3-1
4.0%
2-2
4.0%
3-2
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).