Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →79.1%
Santander
12.9%
Draw
8.0%
Ibiza
Expected Goals (xG)
2.85
Santander
vs
0.82
Ibiza
Markets
BTTS52.6%
Over 0.597.5%
Over 1.588.0%
Over 2.570.9%
Over 3.549.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.4%
3-0
9.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-1
8.1%
1-0
7.3%
4-0
7.0%
1-1
5.9%
4-1
5.7%
5-0
4.0%
2-2
3.5%
3-2
3.3%
5-1
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).