Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.5%
Northampton
31.5%
Draw
31.0%
Exeter
Expected Goals (xG)
0.97
Northampton
vs
0.85
Exeter
Markets
BTTS34.8%
Over 0.584.3%
Over 1.553.6%
Over 2.527.3%
Over 3.511.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.3%
0-0
15.7%
0-1
14.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-0
7.6%
2-1
6.5%
0-2
5.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-0
2.5%
3-1
2.1%
0-3
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).