Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.7%
Spartak Moskva
37.1%
Draw
39.2%
Baltika Kaliningrad
Expected Goals (xG)
0.69
Spartak Moskva
vs
0.97
Baltika Kaliningrad
Markets
BTTS32.4%
Over 0.579.4%
Over 1.550.8%
Over 2.523.1%
Over 3.58.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
20.6%
0-1
16.9%
1-1
14.2%
1-0
11.7%
0-2
8.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-0
4.6%
2-1
4.4%
0-3
2.9%
2-2
2.1%
1-3
2.0%
3-0
1.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).