Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →9.6%
Scunthorpe
19.3%
Draw
71.1%
Stevenage
Expected Goals (xG)
0.52
Scunthorpe
vs
1.91
Stevenage
Markets
BTTS34.4%
Over 0.591.6%
Over 1.569.6%
Over 2.544.0%
Over 3.522.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
17.1%
0-2
16.0%
0-3
10.2%
1-1
8.4%
0-0
8.4%
1-2
8.4%
1-3
5.3%
1-0
4.9%
0-4
4.9%
1-4
2.6%
2-1
2.3%
2-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).