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03 May 2026 · 00:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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32.9%
Deportivo Alavés
31.2%
Draw
36.0%
Crowborough Athletic

Expected Goals (xG)

0.98

Deportivo Alavés

vs
1.04

Crowborough Athletic

Markets

BTTS40.9%
Over 0.586.5%
Over 1.560.4%
Over 2.533.1%
Over 3.514.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.8%
0-1
13.5%
0-0
13.5%
1-0
12.7%
0-2
7.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-1
6.7%
2-0
6.4%
2-2
3.5%
0-3
2.5%
1-3
2.5%
3-1
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).