Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.4%
Dunfermline
34.1%
Draw
27.5%
Morton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.15
Dunfermline
vs
0.94
Morton
Markets
BTTS43.7%
Over 0.585.5%
Over 1.563.8%
Over 2.534.7%
Over 3.515.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
15.5%
0-0
14.5%
1-0
12.1%
0-1
9.5%
2-0
8.2%
2-1
7.7%
1-2
6.3%
0-2
5.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-0
3.1%
3-1
2.9%
1-3
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).