Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →18.8%
Cartagena
19.5%
Draw
61.7%
Almeria
Expected Goals (xG)
1.15
Cartagena
vs
2.22
Almeria
Markets
BTTS60.8%
Over 0.596.6%
Over 1.584.9%
Over 2.565.4%
Over 3.543.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.7%
1-1
8.7%
0-2
8.5%
0-1
7.7%
1-3
7.2%
0-3
6.3%
2-2
5.6%
2-1
5.0%
2-3
4.1%
1-0
4.0%
1-4
4.0%
0-4
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).