Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →18.0%
Exeter
26.3%
Draw
55.7%
Birmingham
Expected Goals (xG)
0.62
Exeter
vs
1.36
Birmingham
Markets
BTTS33.3%
Over 0.587.1%
Over 1.557.7%
Over 2.531.6%
Over 3.513.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
19.8%
0-0
12.9%
0-2
12.8%
1-1
10.7%
1-0
9.6%
1-2
7.9%
0-3
5.8%
2-1
3.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-0
2.7%
2-2
2.4%
0-4
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).