⚽ FootballData
5 – 0
HHT: 30CSV

08 Oct 2023 · 19:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
53.2%
Panathinaikos
28.6%
Draw
18.3%
Atromitos

Expected Goals (xG)

1.49

Panathinaikos

vs
0.77

Atromitos

Markets

BTTS42.6%
Over 0.588.4%
Over 1.567.0%
Over 2.539.2%
Over 3.519.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
14.5%
1-1
13.1%
0-0
11.6%
2-0
11.6%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
7.0%
3-0
5.7%
1-2
4.6%
3-1
4.4%
2-2
3.4%
0-2
3.1%
4-0
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).