Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →10.0%
Santa Clara
26.7%
Draw
63.2%
Porto
Expected Goals (xG)
0.36
Santa Clara
vs
1.38
Porto
Markets
BTTS22.4%
Over 0.582.8%
Over 1.551.5%
Over 2.525.3%
Over 3.59.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
24.5%
0-0
17.2%
0-2
16.6%
1-1
8.4%
0-3
7.6%
1-0
6.8%
1-2
6.0%
1-3
2.8%
0-4
2.6%
2-1
1.6%
2-0
1.2%
2-2
1.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).