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01 Nov 2024 · 19:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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27.6%
Martigues
25.5%
Draw
46.9%
Red Star

Expected Goals (xG)

0.96

Martigues

vs
1.36

Red Star

Markets

BTTS44.8%
Over 0.591.2%
Over 1.566.3%
Over 2.540.9%
Over 3.520.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
14.4%
1-1
11.8%
1-0
10.5%
0-2
9.1%
0-0
8.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-1
6.2%
2-0
4.6%
2-2
4.2%
0-3
4.1%
1-3
3.9%
3-1
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).