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AHT: 00CSV

22 Apr 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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15.0%
Bordeaux
15.7%
Draw
69.3%
Paris SG

Expected Goals (xG)

1.18

Bordeaux

vs
2.66

Paris SG

Markets

BTTS64.0%
Over 0.598.2%
Over 1.589.2%
Over 2.573.7%
Over 3.553.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-2
9.0%
1-3
8.0%
0-2
7.6%
0-3
6.8%
1-1
6.4%
0-1
6.1%
1-4
5.3%
2-2
5.3%
2-3
4.7%
0-4
4.5%
2-1
4.0%
2-4
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).