Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.5%
Boavista
25.6%
Draw
43.9%
Casa Pia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.11
Boavista
vs
1.39
Casa Pia
Markets
BTTS49.6%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.570.6%
Over 2.545.5%
Over 3.524.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.1%
0-1
12.0%
1-0
9.7%
1-2
8.8%
0-2
8.0%
0-0
7.7%
2-1
7.0%
2-0
5.0%
2-2
4.9%
1-3
4.1%
0-3
3.7%
3-1
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).