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21 Nov 2015

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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64.8%
Queens Park
23.4%
Draw
11.8%
Stirling

Expected Goals (xG)

2.04

Queens Park

vs
0.79

Stirling

Markets

BTTS49.4%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.579.2%
Over 2.553.9%
Over 3.531.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
12.2%
1-1
11.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-0
8.3%
0-0
7.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-0
4.3%
2-2
3.9%
1-2
3.8%
4-1
3.4%
0-1
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).