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27 Aug 2024 · 19:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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41.0%
Cremonese
27.3%
Draw
31.7%
Palermo

Expected Goals (xG)

1.52

Cremonese

vs
1.31

Palermo

Markets

BTTS58.2%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.578.5%
Over 2.553.7%
Over 3.531.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.9%
2-1
8.9%
1-0
7.8%
1-2
7.7%
0-0
7.1%
2-0
6.8%
0-1
6.6%
2-2
5.8%
0-2
5.1%
3-1
4.5%
3-0
3.4%
1-3
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).