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DHT: 11

04 May 2025 · 15:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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52.0%
Jagiellonia Białystok
26.7%
Draw
21.4%
Górnik Zabrze

Expected Goals (xG)

1.64

Jagiellonia Białystok

vs
0.97

Górnik Zabrze

Markets

BTTS51.1%
Over 0.591.6%
Over 1.574.4%
Over 2.548.4%
Over 3.526.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.7%
1-0
11.0%
2-0
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
0-0
8.4%
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.7%
3-0
5.4%
3-1
5.2%
2-2
4.7%
0-2
3.5%
3-2
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).