Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →16.6%
Barnsley
18.2%
Draw
65.2%
Birmingham
Expected Goals (xG)
0.96
Barnsley
vs
2.15
Birmingham
Markets
BTTS53.8%
Over 0.596.3%
Over 1.580.9%
Over 2.560.1%
Over 3.537.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
10.4%
0-2
10.3%
1-2
9.9%
1-1
8.5%
0-3
7.4%
1-3
7.1%
1-0
5.1%
2-2
4.8%
2-1
4.4%
0-4
3.9%
1-4
3.8%
0-0
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).