Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.0%
Reggiana
29.8%
Draw
34.2%
Cesena
Expected Goals (xG)
1.25
Reggiana
vs
1.21
Cesena
Markets
BTTS51.3%
Over 0.590.2%
Over 1.571.7%
Over 2.544.5%
Over 3.523.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.2%
0-0
9.8%
1-0
9.4%
0-1
9.1%
2-1
8.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-0
6.7%
0-2
6.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-1
3.4%
1-3
3.2%
3-0
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).