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AHT: 01CSV

12 May 2021 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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27.1%
Aberdeen
28.0%
Draw
44.8%
Hibernian

Expected Goals (xG)

1.07

Aberdeen

vs
1.44

Hibernian

Markets

BTTS50.9%
Over 0.591.0%
Over 1.572.2%
Over 2.545.8%
Over 3.524.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.3%
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.0%
0-0
9.0%
0-2
8.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.7%
2-2
4.8%
2-0
4.6%
1-3
4.3%
0-3
4.1%
3-1
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).