Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.5%
Valenciennes
31.1%
Draw
38.4%
Ajaccio
Expected Goals (xG)
0.81
Valenciennes
vs
0.95
Ajaccio
Markets
BTTS32.9%
Over 0.583.9%
Over 1.551.4%
Over 2.525.8%
Over 3.510.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
17.5%
0-0
16.1%
1-0
15.0%
1-1
12.2%
0-2
7.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-0
5.6%
2-1
5.3%
2-2
2.5%
0-3
2.5%
1-3
2.0%
3-0
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).