Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →18.7%
Exmouth
27.8%
Draw
53.6%
Bury
Expected Goals (xG)
0.65
Exmouth
vs
1.33
Bury
Markets
BTTS35.0%
Over 0.586.7%
Over 1.558.7%
Over 2.532.0%
Over 3.514.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
18.6%
0-0
13.3%
0-2
12.2%
1-1
11.6%
1-0
9.3%
1-2
8.0%
0-3
5.4%
2-1
3.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-0
2.9%
2-2
2.6%
0-4
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).