Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →65.6%
Como
20.3%
Draw
14.1%
Fiorentina
Expected Goals (xG)
1.98
Como
vs
0.79
Fiorentina
Markets
BTTS46.7%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.576.2%
Over 2.552.3%
Over 3.530.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.6%
2-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
1-1
9.6%
3-0
8.2%
3-1
6.4%
0-0
6.1%
0-1
5.1%
4-0
4.0%
1-2
3.8%
2-2
3.8%
4-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).