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18 Aug 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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75.8%
HamKam
17.1%
Draw
7.1%
Hoddesdon Town

Expected Goals (xG)

2.10

HamKam

vs
0.47

Hoddesdon Town

Markets

BTTS32.8%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.572.6%
Over 2.547.5%
Over 3.525.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
16.9%
1-0
16.1%
3-0
11.8%
2-1
7.9%
0-0
7.6%
1-1
7.5%
4-0
6.2%
3-1
5.6%
0-1
3.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-0
2.6%
2-2
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).